Fantasy football rankings 2025: Sleepers, busts, breakouts via NFL model that nailed C.J. Stroud's tough year
SportsLine simulated the new NFL season 10,000 times and identified 2025 Fantasy football sleepers, breakouts and busts for upcoming drafts

The Pittsburgh Steelers are going to have their fifth different Week 1 starting quarterback over the last five years. For the first time since Ben Roethlisberger in 2021, it appears to be one Fantasy football players can have confidence he will maintain the position the entire season, assuming health. After months of speculation, Aaron Rodgers officially signed with the Steelers days before the team's mandatory minicamp in June after two trying seasons with the Jets. At 41 years old. Rodgers isn't likely someone you want to exit your 2025 Fantasy football drafts with as your starting quarterback, but he can make you feel much better about Pittsburgh playmakers when forming a 2025 Fantasy football strategy.
For Steelers like DK Metcalf, Pat Freiermuth and a pass-catching capable running back in Jaylen Warren, Rodgers' presence over an unproven quarterback like Mason Rudolph can substantially increase their appeal for the 2025 Fantasy football season. Where should these players fall in 2025 Fantasy football rankings, and although Rodgers' taking over is likely a good thing for their production, could it actually overinflate where some people take Steelers in the 2025 Fantasy football drafts? Before setting your 2025 Fantasy football draft strategy, be sure to check out the 2025 Fantasy football rankings and cheat sheets from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
Last year, the model accurately predicted that Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud might take a step back in his second season. He finished as QB18 and anybody who avoided drafting him early dodged a major headache in their Fantasy football lineups. The same model has a proven track record providing Fantasy football tips, identifying A.J. Brown as a sleeper in 2020, nailing Jonathan Taylor's monstrous season in 2021 and calling Rachaad White's breakout in 2023. Additionally, it has called past Fantasy football sleepers like Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. Anybody who banked on players like those made a run at their league title.
The model is powered by the same people who generated projections for all three major Fantasy sites, and it beat human experts last season when there was a big difference in ranking. The 2025 Fantasy football PPR rankings and 2024 Fantasy football standard projections update multiple times daily, so you're always getting the best Fantasy football advice.
Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest 2025 Fantasy football rankings, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head to SportsLine now to see them.
Top 2025 Fantasy football sleepers
One of the 2025 Fantasy football sleepers the model is predicting: Raiders quarterback Geno Smith. The Raiders traded a third-round draft pick for Smith in March, signing him to a two-year contract extension. He will be playing in a new-look offense under offensive coordinator Chip Kelly, who has utilized an up-tempo pace throughout his coaching career.
Smith has some intriguing weapons in Las Vegas, including rising star tight end Brock Bowers and dependable veteran Jakobi Meyers. The Raiders also added rookie running back Ashton Jeanty in the draft to provide some balance. Smith was the QB13 in Fantasy scoring last year, and the model has him as a top-20 quarterback this season despite his ADP of 25. See more Fantasy football sleepers 2025 here.
Top 2025 Fantasy football breakouts
One of the 2025 Fantasy football breakouts the model is predicting: Giants wide receiver Wan'Dale Robinson. The 24-year-old receiver enters his fourth NFL season, so although he's later in his career than your typical breakout, Robinson isn't much older than the incoming rookie class. Robinson played his entire rookie season at 21 years old, whereas many of the top rookie receivers are entering this season at 22. Robinson had more receptions (93) and targets (140) last year than in his first two seasons combined.
Robinson was a second-round pick in the 2022 NFL Draft after having 104 receptions for 1,333 yards in 13 games as a junior at Kentucky. He was used more in New York as the season progressed, including 10 receptions in the final game of the season. With offensive head coach Brian Daboll remaining in place, that involvement could continue to rise. The model has Robinson in the range of more high-profile receivers like Rome Odunze, Chris Olave and Jayden Reed in its 2025 Fantasy football rankings as it projects Robinson to be a more reliable Fantasy football receiver this year. See more Fantasy football breakouts 2025 here.
Top 2025 Fantasy football busts
As for players to avoid, the model lists Saints wide receiver Chris Olave as one of its 2025 Fantasy football busts. Olave was extremely productive during his first two seasons in New Orleans, eclipsing 1,000 receiving yards both years. However, he dealt with numerous injuries in 2024 that saw him finish with just 32 receptions for 400 yards and one touchdown.
The star wideout missed the final eight games of 2024 due to a concussion, but he's expected to be the focal point in Kellen Moore's passing attack. However, the Saints still have major questions at the quarterback position. New Orleans averaged only 205.2 passing yards per game last season, which doesn't bode well for Olave's Fantasy production in 2025. SportsLine's model is calling for Prescott to finish outside the top 50 in its 2025 wide receiver rankings, making him one of the Fantasy football busts to avoid. See more Fantasy football busts 2025 here.
How to find proven 2025 Fantasy football football rankings
SportsLine is also extremely high on a surprising wide receiver you aren't even thinking about being taken in the early rounds of 2025 Fantasy football drafts. This wide receiver is listed as a shocking top-15 option ahead of stars like A.J. Brown and Tyreek Hill. You can only see who it is, and the 2025 Fantasy football rankings for every player, at SportsLine.
So which 2025 Fantasy Football sleepers, breakouts and busts should you target and fade, and which WR shocks the NFL with a top-15 performance? Visit SportsLine now to get 2025 Fantasy Football cheat sheets for every single position, all from the model that called C.J. Stroud's disappointing sophomore season in 2024, and find out.