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USATSI

The inaugural 4 Nations Face-Off hockey tournament continues on Monday and the United States will be back in action when it takes on Sweden in its final matchup of round-robin play. Team USA has already clinched its spot in the 2025 4 Nations Face-Off Final and will rest some of its key players for the championship matchup against Canada. Sweden entered the day mathematically alive to advance to the Final, but was eliminated Monday afternoon when Canada beat Finland 5-3 in regulation. Jake Oettinger will start in goal for Team USA.

Puck drop is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Team USA is a -210 favorite (bet $210 to win $100) on the money line while Sweden is a +172 underdog in the latest USA vs. Sweden odds. The over/under is up to 6.5 goals and the Americans are -1.5 favorites on the puck line (+118). Before making any Sweden vs. USA picks, be sure to see the 2025 4 Nations Face-Off predictions from SportsLine's Matt Severance

Severance entered the 2025 4 Nations Face-Off as SportsLine's No. 1 NHL expert, going 35-11-4 on NHL puck-line picks, returning more than $1,800 for $100 players. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.

Now, he has set his sights on USA vs. Sweden and just locked in his 4 Nations Face-Off picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the latest odds for Sweden vs. USA:

  • USA vs. Sweden money line: USA -210, Sweden +172
  • USA vs. Sweden over/under: 5.5 goals
  • USA vs. Sweden puck line: USA -1.5 (+118)
  • USA vs. Sweden picks: See picks at SportsLine
  • USA vs. Sweden streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)

Why you should back Team USA 

The United States is off to a dominant start, scoring a 6-1 victory over Finland in the opening match of round-robin play and then winning a 3-1 thriller over Canada on Saturday. The Americans set the tone against their biggest rivals by dropping the gloves three times in the first nine seconds of the win over Canada. After an early Connor McDavid goal, Team USA rallied to score three goals in a row to capture the victory in front of a hostile crowd in Montreal.

Jake Guentzel scored a first-period equalizer and then Dylan Larkin put the Red, White and Blue on top with a snap shot in the second period. Guentzel would add a second goal (his third of the tournament) on an empty net late in the third period to seal the victory. See which team to back at SportsLine

Why you should back Team Sweden

The Swedes lost both of their first two matchups 4-3, but did collect two points by taking Canada and Finland to overtime, showing their ability to compete with the rest of the field up to this point. The win by Canada on Monday afternoon eliminated Sweden, but it will still want to see out the tournament with a victory regardless of that outcome. 

Team Sweden outshot Finland 24-21 in its overtime loss on Saturday and it was only narrowly clipped by Canada in the same category (28-26), so the ice hasn't been heavily tilted away from the Swedes by any means. Red Wings forward Lucas Raymond leads the team with three points over the first two games. See which team to back at SportsLine.

How to make 2025 4 Nations Face-Off picks

Severance is going Over on the goal total. He's also found a critical x-factor that has him jumping on one side. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins USA vs. Sweden, and what critical x-factor do you need to know about? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Sweden vs. USA puck line to jump on, all from the top NHL expert who is on a 35-11 roll.