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  • expert headshot
    Thomas Casale
    +686.5
    (59%)
    41-29 in Last 70 NCAAB Picks
    Over 154.5
    -110
    Over/Under
    Picked: Mar 12 @ 9:35pm

    Analysis

    I have only given out one total this season. It was Florida-Arkansas when I thought the opening line was off by 5-6 points. We have another example here. Wisconsin-Illinois opened 154.5 at DK and BetMGM. I think it closes around 159. The last 5 meetings have finished with totals of 182, 169, 166, 180 and 174 points. Wisconsin already played in this gym and scored 85. Illinois should get whatever it wants near the rim. They shot 63% in the first meeting. These are also the two best free throw shooting teams in the Big 10. Play up to 157.5
  • expert headshot
    Chip Patterson
    +76
    (57%)
    4-3 in Last 7 NCAAB Picks
    Over 147.5
    -110
    Over/Under
    Picked: Mar 12 @ 11:46pm

    Analysis

    While Tennessee has trended to the under recently (4-1 in their last five), this could be an opponent that speeds them up and allows for some more offensive success than what the Vols had at the start of their comeback win against Auburn. It took awhile for star freshman Nate Ament to heat up in his return to the lineup for Tennessee, but eventually he wore down the Tigers’ defense to finish with a team-high 27 points. These two teams played less than a week ago and it was an 86-82 game played at Vanderbilt’s pace, so anything under 150 seems like a fair play.
  • expert headshot
    Eric Cohen
    +98
    (60%)
    3-2 in Last 5 NCAAB Picks
    TENN
    +100
    Money Line
    Picked: Mar 13 @ 12:59am

    Analysis

    I'm going with the revenge angle in this all-Tennessee matchup. The Commodores beat the Volunteers in Knoxville last Saturday, avenging a Tennessee win on Vanderbilt's home floor in February. I picked against Rick Barnes' team on Thursday as I thought they were fading as the season went along. Auburn proved me smart for 30 minutes before Tennessee ran off a 19-0 run and never looked back. I predict a close game in Nashville on Friday, but I lean the team in orange by three points.
  • expert headshot
    Micah Roberts
    #1
    +1678
    (61%)
    56-36 in Last 92 NCAAB Picks
    ARIZ -3.5
    -112
    Spread
    Picked: Mar 12 @ 10:01pm

    Analysis

    It's the semi-finals of the Big 12 Conference Tournament from Kansas City, Missouri, between Iowa State and Arizona. The Wildcats have only lost twice this season and have a seven-game win streak going that includes a 73-57 win over Iowa State as 6.5-point favorites two weeks ago. Now the number is 4.5 on a neutral court, a manageable proposition for Arizona, considering they've been double-digit favorites for most of their games. Arizona travels well with 9 wins in away games, but what I like most is Arizona coach Tommy Lloyd sticking to his Gonzaga roots and teachings with his offense shooting 50.2% and a defense that only allows 38.8%. It's the repetitive technique that keeps Arizona winning. They win this one, too.
  • expert headshot
    Chip Patterson
    +76
    (57%)
    4-3 in Last 7 NCAAB Picks
    IOWAST +4
    -110
    Spread
    Picked: Mar 12 @ 10:13pm

    Analysis

    Arizona blitzed Iowa State in Tucson, but will find less home cooking in Kansas City, where Iowa State fans have really embraced being one of the best crowds in the Big 12 Tournament. It helps that the Cyclones' style is powered by suffocating defense and quick spurts of points that can send supporters into a frenzy. Of course, it’s tough to find things to cheer about when the other team is operating at the clip that Arizona can, so forcing turnovers is going to be a huge key to disrupting the Wildcats’ dominance. Senior guard Tamin Lipsey is also an X-factor with his Big 12 Tournament experience, as Iowa State is looking to win its second Big 12 Tournament title in the last three years.

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