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  • expert headshot
    Mike Tierney
    +281
    (67%)
    6-3 in Last 9 NCAAF ATS Picks
    PITT -7
    -105
    Spread
    Picked: Dec 16 @ 11:00am

    Analysis

    Erase the starting QB, transfer-to-be Katin Houser, and both coordinators who left for greener pastures, and there's not much for East Carolina to hang its hat on. Pitt thrived on the road, winning four of five outright, and improved gradually as freshman QB Mason Heintschel got acclimated to the job. The Panthers' lone SU losses in their last eight games were to Notre Dame and Miami. No shame there.
  • expert headshot
    Bruce Marshall
    #5
    +635
    (56%)
    52-41-3 in Last 96 NCAAF Picks
    PITT -10.5
    -104
    Spread
    Picked: Dec 26 @ 11:43pm

    Analysis

    The portal hasn't just hit East Carolina, it has devoured the Pirates, robbing them, among others, of their starting QB (3300-yard passer Katin Houser), top rusher (London Montgomery 742 YR), and 2nd-leading receiver Yannick Smith (44 catches). Moreover, both coordinators (OC John David Baker and DC Josh Aldridge) have moved to other jobs. Expect to see lots of mobile QB Mike Wright, who once created a buzz at Vanderbilt, but little since, as Blake Harrell has to reconfigure his offense on the fly. Pitt has had a few portal losses, too, but the Panthers were a revelation after frosh Mason Heintschel took over at QB, covering all six wins thereafter, with a win margin of better than 18 ppg. Play Pitt (Military Bowl at Annapolis)
  • expert headshot
    Mike Tierney
    +281
    (67%)
    6-3 in Last 9 NCAAF ATS Picks
    PSU +3.5
    -110
    Spread
    Picked: Dec 15 @ 5:51pm

    Analysis

    Would anyone like to volunteer to join Clemson's roster? The Tigers wll be wthout at least two-dozen players from a combination of injuries, NFL draft preparation and intent to transfer. Somewhat encouraging is that QB Cade Klubnik, whose pro prospects have plummeted during a disappointing season, hopes to use the bowl to win over skeptical scouts, though he is left to pilot a stripped-down offense. Penn State, with a coaching change, also will suffer from the expected withdrawals, but the Nittany Lions do not face the depth headaches that confront Clemson. Penn State rallied to close with three SU wins to become bowl eligible, providing some momentum.
  • expert headshot
    Bruce Marshall
    #5
    +635
    (56%)
    52-41-3 in Last 96 NCAAF Picks
    GATECH +4
    -110
    Spread
    Picked: Dec 26 @ 7:56pm

    Analysis

    Good news for Georgia Tech with word that sr. QB Haynes King has not opted out and will indeed play for the Yellow Jackets at the Pop-Tarts Bowl in Orlando. King's availability is crucial for GT, but this underdog role has also been a very good one for the Ramblin' Wreck since Brent Key took over as HC early in the 2022 campaign. Getting points has definitely been Key's best role, 3-0 this season, five straight since late 2024, and now 17-6 as an underdog since replacing Geoff Collins three years ago. BYU is formidable but the non-conference slate hardly challenged, and the Cougars fell far short of Texas Tech in their two toughest tests of the season. Play Georgia Tech (Pop-Tarts Bowl at Orlando)
  • expert headshot
    R.J. White
    +182
    (67%)
    4-2 in Last 6 NFL Picks
    HOU +2.5
    -112
    Spread
    Picked: Dec 23 @ 10:45am

    Analysis

    The Texans are coming off one of the worst wins of the season, needing a pick-six to beat the Raiders by two points. That's shifted this line through zero from the lookahead of Houston -1.5, along with the Chargers dominating an awful Cowboys defense. I expect the Raiders game to be a wake-up call for Houston, and their edge rushers should have much more success against the Chargers' battered O-line than Dallas did. This feels to me like it could be decided by 1-2 points, so I'll take the value off the lookahead for what I think is the better team overall.

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